Sport Picks
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera La Arboleda, Asunción 
Match Events
37'
37'
Acosta M.
Assist: Mendieta W.
55'
55'
Sub
Vera F. In: Ayala L.
Out: Vera F.
55'
55'
Sub
Benitez M. In: Paredes A.
Out: Benitez M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Sportivo Ameliano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Rubio Nu are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Sportivo Ameliano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 15%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rubio Nu | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio Nu
1:2
Jul 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Mar 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio Nu
2:2
Oct 17, 2021 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rubio Nu Compare
Top Goalscorer Acosta M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreira E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rubio Nu 35 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rubio Nu Sportivo Ameliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Rubio Nu's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Solid form: Rubio Nu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rubio Nu VS Sportivo Ameliano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rubio Nu
(Home) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Sportivo Trinidense
07 Aug
Rubio Nu
1 : 3 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Ameliano
(Away) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
16 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
