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Stadium Background

Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski, Chorzów
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Glogowski M.
10'
Lesniak-Paduch N.
38'
Sub
Kopasek S. In: Shakh A.
Out: Kopasek S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Ruch Chorzow and Lechia Gdansk finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ruch Chorzow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ruch Chorzow
20%
Draws
48%
Lechia Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lechia Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ruch Chorzow come out ahead of Lechia Gdansk on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Lechia Gdansk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 12%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruch Chorzow Lechia Gdansk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk
1:3
Aug 14, 2026 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk
1:0
Mar 11, 2017 Ekstraklasa
Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk
2:1
Sep 24, 2016 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Ruch Chorzow
2:1
May 7, 2016 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Ruch Chorzow
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruch Chorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Pawlowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruch Chorzow 11 / 100
Lechia Gdansk 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruch Chorzow Lechia Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lechia Gdansk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Ruch Chorzow's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ruch Chorzow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ruch Chorzow VS Lechia Gdansk
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruch Chorzow

(Home)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
02 Sept
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 6

Lechia Gdansk

(Away)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
15 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
16 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
17 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)