Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski, Chorzów
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gajgier A.
Assist: Olewinski O.
12' Event
Szwedzik P.
Assist: Szymanski S.
46'
Sub
Niewiadomski J. In: Konstantyn J.
Out: Niewiadomski J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ruch Chorzow
33%
Draws
27%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ruch Chorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ruch Chorzow have won more games recently than Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ruch Chorzow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruch Chorzow Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ruch Chorzow
2:2
Mar 12, 2022 Division 2
Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
4:1
Aug 28, 2021 Division 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ruch Chorzow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruch Chorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Szwedzik P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ventura D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Gajgier A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruch Chorzow 40 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruch Chorzow Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ruch Chorzow's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Ruch Chorzow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ruch Chorzow VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruch Chorzow

(Home)
26 Jul
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
18 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Ruch Chorzow
10 Jul
KS Wieczysta Krakow
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
04 Jul
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw II
27 Jun
Unia Oswiecim
0 : 6
Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Away)
25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1
Trencin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423
Promotion - Ekstraklasa (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Main)