Sport Picks

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 Gradski Stadion

Mrkonjic Grad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rudar Prijedor play Mrkonjic Grad in the Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rudar Prijedor averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Mrkonjic Grad averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Rudar Prijedor won 3, Mrkonjic Grad won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 15, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Rudar Prijedor and 1.06 for Mrkonjic Grad. This points to a Rudar Prijedor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Rudar Prijedor

24%

Draws

30%

Mrkonjic Grad

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Rudar Prijedor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Rudar Prijedor picked up more points recently compared to Mrkonjic Grad.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Rudar Prijedor Clean Sheet 22%

Mrkonjic Grad Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rudar Prijedor	Mrkonjic Grad
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	15	8
Draws	5	7
Losses	19	15
Goals Scored	1.46	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Rudar Prijedor vs Mrkonjic Grad

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 0 - 0

4:2

Aug 24, 2024 Prva Liga - RS

Mrkonjic Grad vs Rudar Prijedor

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:5

Mar 23, 2024 Prva Liga - RS

Rudar Prijedor vs Mrkonjic Grad

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Sep 2, 2023 Prva Liga - RS

Mrkonjic Grad vs Rudar Prijedor

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:5

Apr 30, 2023 Prva Liga - RS

Mrkonjic Grad vs Rudar Prijedor

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rudar Prijedor Compare

Top Goalscorer Savanovic M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rastoka M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Mrkonjic Grad Compare

Top Goalscorer Dojcinovic S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Radulovic J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudar Prijedor 46 / 100

Mrkonjic Grad 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rudar Prijedor Mrkonjic Grad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rudar Prijedor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rudar Prijedor attacking → ← attacking Mrkonjic Grad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rudar Prijedor scored in 64% of their last 39 games.

Mrkonjic Grad let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Rudar Prijedor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mrkonjic Grad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 31

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Laktasi	34	26	3	5	90:24	81
2	BSK Banja Luka	34	22	5	7	67:39	71
3	Rudar Prijedor	34	20	6	8	50:21	66
4	Zvijezda 09	34	18	6	10	46:34	60
5	Sloboda Novi Grad	34	15	7	12	43:38	49
6	Slavija	34	13	8	13	53:42	47
7	Famos Vojkovici	34	13	7	14	40:35	46
8	Sutjeska Foca	34	14	4	16	42:55	46
9	Leotar	34	12	9	13	42:29	45
10	Romanija Pale	34	11	11	12	36:32	44
11	Zvornik	34	13	5	16	38:42	44
12	Kozara	34	11	9	14	38:47	42
13	Nevesinje	34	12	6	16	38:58	42
14	Drina Visegrad	34	13	3	18	37:59	42
15	Zeljeznicar Banja Luka	34	12	5	17	46:52	41
16	Ljubic Prnjavor	34	11	7	16	39:62	40
17	Mrkonjic Grad	34	9	7	18	44:61	34
18	Kozarska Dubica	34	5	4	25	29:88	16