Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rudar vs Jesenice

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Mestni stadion ob jezeru, Velenje
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Dzumhur S.
77' Event
Orsolic M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Rudar and Jesenice finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rudar
6%
Draws
4%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rudar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rudar come out ahead of Jesenice on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rudar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rudar Clean Sheet 20%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rudar Jesenice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Rudar
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 2. SNL
Rudar vs Jesenice
1:1
Oct 14, 2003 Slovenian Cup
Jesenice vs Rudar
3:1
Oct 1, 2003 Slovenian Cup
Rudar vs Jesenice
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzumhur S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Orsolic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudar 85 / 100
Jesenice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rudar Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesenice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Rudar's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rudar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rudar VS Jesenice
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rudar

(Home)
23 May
Tabor Sezana
2 : 0
Rudar
15 May
Rudar
2 : 2
Jadran Dekani
10 May
Jesenice
2 : 1
Rudar
07 May
Rudar
3 : 0
Krsko Posavje
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

Jesenice

(Away)
23 May
Jesenice
0 : 1
Dravinja
15 May
NK Krka
3 : 2
Jesenice
10 May
Jesenice
2 : 1
Rudar
07 May
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
Jesenice
30 Apr
Jesenice
0 : 3
Triglav
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)