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Rudes vs HNK Gorica

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup SC Rudes
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rudes play HNK Gorica in the Croatian Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rudes averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. HNK Gorica averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Rudes won 1, HNK Gorica won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 29, 2025 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Rudes and 1.13 for HNK Gorica. This points to a Rudes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rudes
28%
Draws
22%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rudes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rudes has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to HNK Gorica.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Rudes.
  • Cup tournament structure in Croatian Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Rudes Clean Sheet 68%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rudes HNK Gorica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Croatian Cup
Rudes vs HNK Gorica
0:6
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Rudes
3:0
May 10, 2024 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Rudes
2:1
Mar 4, 2024 HNL
Rudes vs HNK Gorica
2:1
Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
HNK Gorica vs Rudes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rudes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

HNK Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavicic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kavelj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudes 59 / 100
HNK Gorica 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rudes HNK Gorica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rudes scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

HNK Gorica let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Rudes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

HNK Gorica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rudes VS HNK Gorica
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci5
Drnis0
TBD-
Mladost Zdralovi-
Maksimir3
Jadran Porec2
TBD-
Rijeka-
Nehaj Senj1
Vukovar 19912
TBD-
Cibalia-
NK Koprivnica1
NK Pitomaca0
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Slavonija Pozega1
Marsonia0
TBD-
Bijelo Brdo-
NK Radnicki Dalj0
Granicar Kotoriba2
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Jedinstvo (DM)0
Dugo Selo3
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
Varteks Varazdin (2011)3
Moslavina0
TBD-
Sibenik-
Spansko0
Gaj Mace1
TBD-
Varazdin-
Uljanik Pula2
Bjelovar0
TBD-
Osijek-
Belica1
Solin4
TBD-
Rudes-
NK Libertas Novska2
Opatija1
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Bednja Beletinec1
Karlovac4
TBD-
Belisce-
Bedem Ivankovo3
NK Dinamo Predavac5
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Zemunik2
Kurilovec12
TBD-
Oriolik-
Neretva6
Zadrugar Oprisavci2
TBD-
Istra 1961-
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci0
Mladost Zdralovi1
Maksimir0
Rijeka4
Vukovar 19910
Cibalia1
NK Koprivnica1
Hajduk Split4
Slavonija Pozega0
Bijelo Brdo2
Granicar Kotoriba0
Slaven Belupo5
Dugo Selo0
Lok. Zagreb4
Varteks Varazdin (2011)4
Sibenik1
Gaj Mace1
Varazdin7
Uljanik Pula0
Osijek4
Solin1
Rudes2
NK Libertas Novska1
HNK Gorica3
Karlovac5
Belisce0
NK Dinamo Predavac0
Din. Zagreb6
Kurilovec5
Oriolik0
Neretva1
Istra 19612
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi1
Rijeka4
Cibalia0
Hajduk Split1
Bijelo Brdo0
Slaven Belupo3
Lok. Zagreb4
Varteks Varazdin (2011)0
Varazdin2
Osijek1
Rudes0
HNK Gorica6
Karlovac0
Din. Zagreb7
Kurilovec2
Istra 19611
Quarter-finals
Rijeka3
Hajduk Split2
Slaven Belupo2
Lok. Zagreb1
Varazdin1
HNK Gorica3
Din. Zagreb2
Kurilovec0
Semi-finals
Rijeka2
Slaven Belupo0
HNK Gorica3
Din. Zagreb6
Final
Rijeka0
Din. Zagreb2