Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugby vs Grantham Town

England England

FA Cup 2022/2023
Tue, Sep 6, 2022
1 - 0
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Rugby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rugby
15%
Draws
39%
Grantham Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rugby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rugby come out ahead of Grantham Town on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Rugby have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grantham Town, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rugby Clean Sheet 12%
Grantham Town Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugby Grantham Town
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Rugby vs Grantham Town
1:5
Sep 6, 2022 FA Cup
Rugby vs Grantham Town
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup
Grantham Town vs Rugby
3:3
Apr 15, 2006 Southern Premier League
Rugby vs Grantham Town
0:2
Jan 2, 2006 Southern Premier League
Grantham Town vs Rugby
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugby 29 / 100
Grantham Town 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugby Grantham Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rugby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Rugby found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Grantham Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Rugby has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rugby VS Grantham Town
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugby

(Home)
03 Oct
Worcester
3 : 2
Rugby
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Rugby
4 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
26 Jul
Redditch
2 : 0
Rugby
19 Jul
Rugby
1 : 1
Alvechurch
Page 1 of 6

Grantham Town

(Away)
29 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 3
Mickleover
08 Jul
Grantham Town
2 : 0
Lincoln Utd.
14 Sept
Gainsborough
2 : 1
Grantham Town
07 Sept
Grantham Town
0 : 2
Coleshill Town
31 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 0
Newark and Sherwood
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Oldham -
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Chester -
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Charnock Richard 3
Pontefract Collieries 4
Stourbridge 3
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 3
Kimberley Miners Welfare 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
Stortford 0
Neots 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Tamworth 6
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Stafford 0
Newcastle Town 2
Nantwich 0
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Kempston 1
Bedford 2
Barwell 4
Highgate 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Stocksbridge 2
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Ashton United 0
Ashington 3
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 2
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Stalybridge 0
Lancaster 1
Bury AFC 2
North Shields 1
TBD -
TBD -
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York City -
Shildon 2
Penistone Church 1
South Shields 3
Workington 2
Whitby 5
Bishop Auckland 0
Marske United 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
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Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
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Basford Utd. 5
Romulus 0
Grantham Town 3
Rugby 4
Lichfield City 3
Stourport 2
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Boston United -
Rushall 1
Redditch 4
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Hertford Town 0
Royston Town 3
Scarborough Athletic -
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Dunston 3
City Of Liverpool 0
Witton Albion 0
United of Manchester 1
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Curzon Ashton -
Liversedge 2
Glossop North End 1
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Chorley -
Blyth Spartans -
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Guiseley 2
Avro 1
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Wrexham -
Altrincham -
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Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 3
Whitchurch Alport 1
Matlock 0
Ilkeston 2
Edgware Town 1
Grays 4
Dunstable Town 0
Shefford 2
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Chesterfield -
Mickleover 2
Alvechurch 3
Lye Town 1
Harborough 2
Leamington -
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Nuneaton 3
Belper Town 1
Hednesford 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 3
Loughborough Students 1
Brackley -
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Worksop 5
Worcester Raiders 0
Goole 0
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 1
Whickham 0
Buxton -
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Alfreton -
Warrington Rylands 0
Hyde 4
Morpeth 3
Warrington Town 4
Darlington FC -
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Southport -
Notts County -
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Shepshed 1
Coalville Town 3
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Macclesfield 1
St. Albans -
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Bury Town 0
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 5
Enfield Town 1
St Ives Town 4
Barking 0
Telford -
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Stone Old Alleynians 0
Chasetown 1
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Halifax -
Bromley -
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Sheppey United 2
Lewes 10
Three Bridges 2
Erith Town 1
Hereford -
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Bromsgrove 4
Stamford 3
Torquay -
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Bognor Regis 6
Cray Wanderers 2
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Hampton & Richmond -
Hamworthy United 0
Gosport Borough 4
Royal Wootton 2
Paulton Rovers 4
Yeovil -
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Taunton Town -
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Cinderford Town 2
Laverstock & Ford 3
Walton & Hersham 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Midhurst & Easebourne 0
Chatham 6
Maidenhead -
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Slough Town -
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Worthing FC -
Eastbourne Borough -
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Marlow 0
Uxbridge 1
Dorking Wanderers -
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Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 3
Hastings 0
Eastbourne Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
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Dover Ath. -
Bath City -
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Roman Glass St George 0
Hartley Wintney 4
Phoenix Sports 4
Rusthall 1
Sevenoaks 2
Kingstonian 1
Woking -
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Southend -
Dartford -
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East Grinstead Town 3
Beckenham Town 5
Holyport 0
Binfield 1
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Tonbridge -
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Dagenham & Red. -
Potton United 1
Hendon 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Herne Bay 2
Horsham FC 1
Ashford United 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Metropolitan Police 4
Corinthian 3
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Burgess Hill 2
Chippenham Town -
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Slimbridge 2
Sholing 5
Ashford Town 2
Westfield 4
Carshalton 5
VCD Athletic 1
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Wincanton Town 2
AFC Totton 9
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Winchester City 5
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Weymouth -
Welling -
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Fisher 5
Spelthorne Sports 1
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Haringey Borough 1
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Hornchurch 3
Hitchin 0
Heybridge 3
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Braintree -
Poole Town 0
Salisbury 2
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Oxford City -
North Leigh 5
AFC Stoneham 3
Didcot 3
Plymouth Parkway 4
Yate 4
Aylesbury Vale 3
Frome Town 0
Tiverton 1
Chesham 5
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Bracknell Town 4
Harrow Borough 1
Cleethorpes 0
Stratford 4
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Banbury -
Berkhamsted Town 2
FC Witham Town 1
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Concord Rangers -
Boreham Wood -
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Wealdstone -
Barnet -
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Basingstoke 2
Weston-super-Mare 4
Blackfield & Langley 2
Shepton Mallet 3
Bishops Cleeve 3
Westbury United 1
Torpoint 1
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 3
Leiston 1
Lowestoft 0
Sheringham 1
Waltham Abbey 7
Buckhurst Hill 2
Brightlingsea 3
Mildenhall 0
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Maidstone -
Aveley 2
Potters 3
Romford 3
Hashtag 2
Chelmsford -
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Harlow 0
Kings Langley 2
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Aldershot -
Hungerford -
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Gloucester City -
Merthyr Town 5
Truro 2
Larkhall 0
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Aylesbury United 0
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Leatherhead 1
Chichester City 2
Willand Rovers 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Wimborne 0
Dorchester 1
Farnborough -
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Hythe 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Enfield FC 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Billericay 4
Leverstock Green 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Dereham 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Quarter-finals
Oldham -
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Chester 2
Pontefract Collieries 0
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 1
Cheshunt 3
Neots 1
Kidderminster 1
Tamworth 0
Newcastle Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
AFC Fylde 4
Farsley 1
King’s Lynn 4
Bedford 1
Barwell 1
Kettering 4
Stocksbridge 2
Marine 1
Ashington 2
Bradford PA 1
Clitheroe 2
Spennymoor 0
Lancaster 4
Bury AFC 6
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York City -
Shildon 0
South Shields 5
Whitby 0
Marske United 1
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Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
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Basford Utd. 2
Rugby 0
Lichfield City 0
Boston United 4
Redditch 2
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 3
Royston Town 0
Scarborough Athletic 3
Dunston 2
United of Manchester 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Liversedge 1
Chorley 10
Blyth Spartans 2
Guiseley 0
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Wrexham -
Altrincham -
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Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Ilkeston 4
Grays 1
Shefford 3
TBD -
TBD -
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Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Harborough 0
Leamington 0
Nuneaton 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 5
Brackley 0
Worksop 2
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Buxton 2
Alfreton 1
Hyde 1
Warrington Town 0
Darlington FC 3
Southport 2
Notts County -
TBD -
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Coalville Town 1
Macclesfield 0
St. Albans 2
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 0
St Ives Town 3
Telford 2
Chasetown 4
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Halifax -
Bromley -
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Lewes 1
Three Bridges 5
Hereford 1
Bromsgrove 0
Torquay -
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Bognor Regis 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Gosport Borough 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Yeovil -
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Taunton Town 1
Laverstock & Ford 0
Walton & Hersham 5
Chatham 3
Maidenhead -
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Slough Town 1
Worthing FC 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Uxbridge 0
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 1
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Dover Ath. 0
Bath City 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Phoenix Sports 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
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Southend -
Dartford 1
Beckenham Town 2
Binfield 4
Tonbridge 0
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TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Wingate & Finchley 1
Herne Bay 2
Ashford United 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Burgess Hill 1
Chippenham Town 3
Sholing 0
Westfield 1
Carshalton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
AFC Totton 0
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 3
Welling 3
Fisher 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hornchurch 3
Heybridge 2
Braintree 3
Salisbury 1
Oxford City 2
North Leigh 2
Plymouth Parkway 3
Yate 2
Tiverton 1
Chesham 2
Bracknell Town 5
Stratford 0
Banbury 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Concord Rangers 0
Boreham Wood -
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TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Shepton Mallet 0
Bishops Cleeve 6
Helston Athletic 7
Needham Market 2
Sheringham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Brightlingsea 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Maidstone -
Potters 1
Romford 2
Chelmsford 6
Kings Langley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Hungerford 1
Gloucester City 3
Merthyr Town 3
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
Chichester City 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Dorchester 0
Farnborough 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Enfield FC 0
Billericay 4
East Thurrock Utd 0
Biggleswade Town 3
Semi-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
Chester 4
Hanley Town 0
Cheshunt 1
Kidderminster 2
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde 6
King’s Lynn 6
Kettering 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ashington 5
Clitheroe 1
Bury AFC 3
TBD -
York City -
South Shields 5
Marske United 2
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 5
Boston United 4
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
Curzon Ashton 5
Chorley 0
Blyth Spartans 1
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Shefford 0
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Nuneaton 0
Gainsborough 0
Worksop 1
Bamber Bridge 0
Buxton 3
Hyde 1
Darlington FC 0
Notts County -
TBD -
Coalville Town 3
Sudbury 0
St Ives Town 3
Chasetown 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Hereford 3
Torquay -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Worthing FC 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hanwell Town 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Bath City 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Beckenham Town 5
Binfield 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Herne Bay 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Chippenham Town 2
Carshalton 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Weymouth 3
Welling 0
Hornchurch 3
Braintree 0
Oxford City 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Yate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Banbury 2
Berkhamsted Town 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
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Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 7
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 2
Brightlingsea 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Romford 0
Chelmsford 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Gloucester City 0
Merthyr Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Folkestone 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Farnborough 5
Billericay 3
Biggleswade Town 6
Final
Oldham 4
Chester 3
Kidderminster 2
AFC Fylde 4
King’s Lynn 3
Ashington 1
Bury AFC 1
York City 2
South Shields 1
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 1
Basford Utd. 0
Peterborough Sports 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Wrexham 4
Altrincham 3
Gateshead 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Chesterfield 3
Alvechurch 3
Worksop 2
Buxton 2
Hyde 1
Notts County 2
Coalville Town 3
St Ives Town 0
Halifax 3
Bromley 1
Hereford 2
Torquay 4
Hampton & Richmond 3
Yeovil 0
Taunton Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastleigh 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Sevenoaks 0
Woking 2
Southend 1
Beckenham Town 0
Dagenham & Red. 7
Hendon 2
Chippenham Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Weymouth 2
Hornchurch 1
Oxford City 4
Bracknell Town 2
Banbury 1
Boreham Wood 5
Wealdstone 3
Barnet 3
Weston-super-Mare 0
Needham Market 1
Maidstone 0
Chelmsford 2
Aldershot 0
Merthyr Town 2
Folkestone 1
Farnborough 7
Biggleswade Town 0