Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugby vs Hednesford

England England

FA Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Hednesford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rugby
20%
Draws
29%
Hednesford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rugby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rugby haven't matched Hednesford's recent run of results.
  • Rugby are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Hednesford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hednesford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hednesford here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rugby Clean Sheet 13%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugby Hednesford
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2024 FA Cup
Hednesford vs Rugby
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 FA Cup
Rugby vs Hednesford
2:2
Sep 22, 2018 FA Cup
Rugby vs Hednesford
1:3
Apr 20, 2010 Southern Premier League
Rugby vs Hednesford
1:6
Apr 5, 2010 Southern Premier League
Hednesford vs Rugby
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugby 40 / 100
Hednesford 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugby Hednesford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Rugby's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hednesford let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Rugby has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hednesford
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugby

(Home)
03 Oct
Worcester
3 : 2
Rugby
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Rugby
4 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
26 Jul
Redditch
2 : 0
Rugby
19 Jul
Rugby
1 : 1
Alvechurch
Page 1 of 6

Hednesford

(Away)
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Hednesford
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guiseley -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 1
Staveley Miners 3
Bamber Bridge 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Walsall Wood 1
Cleethorpes 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Quorn 0
Atherstone 1
Leamington -
TBD -
Highgate United 1
Stourbridge 2
Warrington Town 4
Burscough 0
FC Congleton Town 0
Consett 1
Bedford 3
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley -
TBD -
Parkgate 2
Leek Town 5
Boston United -
TBD -
Basildon 0
Peterborough Sports 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 6
Newcastle Benfield 4
Kendal 3
Knaresborough Town 7
Mossley AFC 5
Clitheroe 2
Atherton Collieries 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport -
TBD -
FC Guisborough Town 0
Farsley 4
Radcliffe 1
Stalybridge 0
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
King’s Lynn 9
Histon 2
Grimsby Borough 1
Stafford 2
Trafford 2
Lancaster 0
TBD -
Ashton United -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Worksop 2
Nantwich 5
Halesowen 2
Matlock 1
Chasetown 3
Gainsborough 9
St Ives Town 3
Saffron 1
Daventry 0
Grantham Town 1
Ashton Athletic 3
Morpeth 2
TBD -
York City -
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 4
North Ferriby United 1
Runcorn Town 2
Irlam 3
City Of Liverpool 5
Squires Gate 1
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Garforth 1
South Shields 5
Alvechurch 1
Stratford 0
Hertford Town 0
Corby 2
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Whitley Bay 1
Whitby 0
TBD -
Altrincham -
Marine 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Maltby 1
Frickley 2
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 5
Bottesford Town 0
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Colne 2
Hyde 0
TBD -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton -
TBD -
Rushall 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Anstey Nomads 2
Oadby Town 1
Haughmond FC 0
Mickleover 6
Coalville Town 2
Racing Club Warwick 1
Barwell 2
Buxton 5
Romulus 4
Belper Town 0
Stortford 1
Neots 2
Woking -
TBD -
Horsham YMCA 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Marlow 2
Aylesbury United 1
Chalfont St Peter 3
Kempston 4
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Chesham 2
Biggleswade Town 1
TBD -
Welling -
Hitchin 3
Godmanchester Rovers 1
Wingate & Finchley 1
Didcot 2
Leiston 6
Cheshunt 4
Kingstonian 1
Hastings 2
Hanwell Town 2
Potters 1
Ware 0
Lowestoft 1
FC Haverhill Rovers 2
Long Melford 1
Herne Bay 0
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Woodbridge 1
Swindon Supermarine 7
Lancing 2
Phoenix Sports 5
Phoenix Sports -
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Spalding United 0
Brantham 1
Tonbridge 2
Hythe 0
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Chipping Sodbury Town 0
Paulton Rovers 1
Basingstoke 3
Sholing 1
Hamworthy United 0
TBD -
Slough Town -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Takeley 1
Bowers & Pitsea 5
Gosport Borough 1
Sittingbourne 0
Sevenoaks 2
Ramsgate 4
Dartford -
TBD -
Croydon Athletic 0
Uckfield Town 1
Cray Valley 4
Merstham 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Yate 2
Salisbury 4
Walton Casuals 3
Beckenham Town 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Coggeshall Town 3
Lewes 4
Farnborough 3
Northwood 1
Kings Langley 3
Banbury 3
Weymouth 2
TBD -
Bath City -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 3
Cray Wanderers 2
Barton 0
Needham Market 4
Dorchester 4
Wimborne 1
Bridport 0
Tiverton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Street 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Leverstock Green 1
Hadley 0
Hartley Wintney 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Tamworth 0
Redditch 2
Rugby 4
AFC Mansfield 2
Stourport 1
Romford 1
Kettering 4
Torquay -
TBD -
Lydney Town 3
Lymington 4
Egham Town 1
Staines 0
Cambridge City 3
Brightlingsea 4
Cirencester 7
AFC Stoneham 0
Buckland 0
Binfield 3
Merthyr Town 4
Melksham 1
Frome Town 2
Winchester City 3
Billericay -
TBD -
Bury Town 0
Burnham FC 1
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
Pagham 0
Whitehawk 2
St. Albans -
Whyteleafe -
Whyteleafe 2
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Bitton 3
Westbury United 0
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 1
Taunton Town 7
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 1
Harrow Borough 0
Fleet Town 1
East Grinstead Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 0
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town 1
Great Wakering 3
Wantage 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
TBD -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moneyfields 1
Thamesmead 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Hayes & Yeading 2
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Faversham 1
Worthing FC 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 3
Brentwood 2
Spelthorne Sports 1
Erith Town 5
Bognor Regis 5
Whitstable Town 0
Royston Town 2
Sudbury 3
Horsham FC 6
Corinthian 1
Newmarket 0
Heybridge 2
Cinderford Town 1
Cadbury Heath 0
Shaftesbury Town 0
Poole Town 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Horndean 2
Margate 3
Romania 4
Soham 0
Walthamstow FC 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Quarter-finals
Guiseley 4
Staveley Miners 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Cleethorpes 8
Kidderminster 5
Atherstone 0
Leamington 2
Stourbridge 3
Warrington Town 5
Consett 3
Bedford 1
Telford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley 3
Leek Town 0
Boston United 0
Peterborough Sports 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 4
Knaresborough Town 1
Mossley AFC 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport 3
Farsley 0
Radcliffe 1
Curzon Ashton 2
King’s Lynn 3
Stafford 1
Trafford 0
Ashton United 3
Blyth Spartans 4
Nantwich 3
Halesowen 0
Gainsborough 3
St Ives Town 3
Grantham Town 1
Ashton Athletic 0
York City 5
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 2
Irlam 1
City Of Liverpool 0
Chester 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County 2
South Shields 1
Alvechurch 1
Corby 4
Bradford PA 1
Darlington FC 0
Whitley Bay 0
Altrincham 5
Marine 1
Frickley 0
Nuneaton 1
Brackley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 2
Spennymoor 1
Colne 0
United of Manchester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Anstey Nomads 1
Mickleover 7
Coalville Town 4
Buxton 1
Romulus 3
Neots 4
Woking 4
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Marlow 0
Kempston 1
Hereford 4
Truro 3
Chesham 1
Welling 2
Hitchin 2
Didcot 1
Leiston 3
Hastings 4
Hanwell Town 1
Lowestoft 0
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Leatherhead 6
Chippenham Town 3
Swindon Supermarine 2
Lancing 1
Hendon 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough 1
Brantham 0
Tonbridge 1
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Bristol Manor Farm 5
Basingstoke 2
Sholing 2
Slough Town 5
Hemel Hempstead 6
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Gosport Borough 2
Ramsgate 3
Dartford 3
Uckfield Town 1
Cray Valley 0
Oxford City 5
Weston-super-Mare 5
Salisbury 4
Walton Casuals 0
Coggeshall Town 2
Lewes 3
Kings Langley 2
Banbury 0
Bath City 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 5
Needham Market 4
Dorchester 0
Tiverton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City 3
Plymouth Parkway 1
Leverstock Green 2
Dorking Wanderers 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 3
Rugby 1
AFC Mansfield 1
Kettering 2
Torquay 7
Lymington 0
Egham Town 4
Brightlingsea 5
Cirencester 3
Binfield 0
Merthyr Town 1
Winchester City 4
Billericay 4
Burnham FC 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Whitehawk 3
St. Albans 4
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Bitton 0
Taunton Town 4
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 2
East Grinstead Town 1
Burgess Hill 0
Hampton & Richmond 3
Wealdstone 2
Great Wakering 0
Wantage 3
Hungerford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moneyfields 1
Hayes & Yeading 0
Chelmsford 1
Worthing FC 2
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 2
Erith Town 0
Bognor Regis 3
Sudbury 4
Horsham FC 4
Heybridge 3
Cinderford Town 0
Poole Town 3
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers 2
Margate 0
Romania 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Semi-finals
Guiseley 4
Cleethorpes 3
Kidderminster 2
Stourbridge 3
Warrington Town 2
Telford 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley 3
Peterborough Sports 0
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Workington 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport 2
Curzon Ashton 1
King’s Lynn 0
Ashton United 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Gainsborough 1
St Ives Town 0
York City 3
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 4
Chester 3
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County 3
Corby 0
Bradford PA 2
Altrincham 4
Marine 3
Brackley 2
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 2
United of Manchester 1
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton 2
Mickleover 1
Coalville Town 5
Neots 6
Woking 3
Kempston 2
Hereford 0
Welling 2
Hitchin 2
Hastings 0
Hanwell Town 1
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town 4
Hendon 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough 4
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Slough Town 6
Hemel Hempstead 5
Ramsgate 0
Dartford 1
Oxford City 4
Weston-super-Mare 1
Coggeshall Town 0
Lewes 0
Bath City 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 4
Tiverton 3
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City 6
Dorking Wanderers 3
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Hednesford 0
Kettering 4
Torquay 3
Brightlingsea 0
Cirencester 0
Winchester City 3
Billericay 9
Whitehawk 1
St. Albans 2
Taunton Town 5
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hornchurch 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Wealdstone 2
Hungerford 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Moneyfields 2
Worthing FC 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 2
Sudbury 1
Horsham FC 2
Poole Town 3
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers 2
Beaconsfield Town 1
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Stage 5
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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Final
Guiseley 3
Stourbridge 1
Warrington Town 2
Halifax 4
Chorley 3
Barrow 2
Hartlepool 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
AFC Fylde 1
Chesterfield 3
Southport 2
Ashton United 1
Blyth Spartans 0
York City 1
Harrogate 0
Wrexham 2
Dunston 0
Gateshead 4
Stockport County 2
Altrincham 0
Marine 1
Salford 2
Witton Albion 0
Solihull Moors 2
Alfreton 4
Neots 0
Woking 1
Welling 0
Hitchin 3
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Slough Town 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Oxford City 6
Weston-super-Mare 1
Bath City 0
Boreham Wood 3
Dagenham & Red. 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Gloucester City 0
Bromley 1
Aldershot 2
Kettering 0
Torquay 4
Winchester City 1
Billericay 3
Taunton Town 2
Eastleigh 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Wealdstone 1
Sutton 2
Ebbsfleet 4
Worthing FC 0
Maidstone 2
Leyton Orient 0
Haringey Borough 2
Poole Town 1
Barnet 4
Braintree 2
Concord Rangers 0
Dover Ath. 1