Sport Picks
Rugenbergen vs TSV Buchholz 08 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 
Match Events
6'
6'
Haase P.
28'
28'
Schulz N.
79'
79'
Haase P.
AI Match Summary
Rugenbergen in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rugenbergen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- TSV Buchholz 08 have won more games recently than Rugenbergen.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Rugenbergen taking it.
- Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 15%
TSV Buchholz 08 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rugenbergen | TSV Buchholz 08 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs TSV Buchholz 08
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Buchholz 08 vs Rugenbergen
4:2
Apr 10, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Buchholz 08 vs Rugenbergen
2:1
Aug 21, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs TSV Buchholz 08
4:1
Feb 13, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Buchholz 08 vs Rugenbergen
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rugenbergen Compare
Top Goalscorer Haase P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
TSV Buchholz 08 Compare
Top Goalscorer Schulz N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rugenbergen 66 / 100
TSV Buchholz 08 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rugenbergen TSV Buchholz 08
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rugenbergen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Rugenbergen scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
TSV Buchholz 08 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 39 outings.
Rugenbergen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS TSV Buchholz 08
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rugenbergen
(Home) 17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1 HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3 Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0 Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0 Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3 Altona
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1 HEBC Hamburg
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0 Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3 Altona
07 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0 TSV Concordia
28 Mar
Rugenbergen
2 : 4 Suderelbe
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TSV Buchholz 08
(Away) 04 Oct
Tesla Hamburg
6 : 1 TSV Buchholz 08
29 Sept
Teutonia Ottensen
6 : 3 TSV Buchholz 08
27 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 0 Eintracht Norderstedt II
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2 TSV Buchholz 08
13 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
5 : 5 Altona
Page 1 of 8
04 Oct
Tesla Hamburg
6 : 1 TSV Buchholz 08
29 Sept
Teutonia Ottensen
6 : 3 TSV Buchholz 08
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2 TSV Buchholz 08
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4 TSV Buchholz 08
26 Jul
Sasel
0 : 4 TSV Buchholz 08
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Altona | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 91:29 | 82 |
| 2 | Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 96:36 | 77 |
| 3 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 74:43 | 63 |
| 4 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 86:51 | 62 |
| 5 | HEBC Hamburg | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 75:52 | 59 |
| 6 | Sasel | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:54 | 56 |
| 7 | Paloma | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 58:56 | 50 |
| 8 | SC Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 79:67 | 49 |
| 9 | Suderelbe | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 85:61 | 48 |
| 10 | TSV Buchholz 08 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 65:65 | 46 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 61:63 | 46 |
| 12 | Halstenbek-Rellingen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 70:70 | 42 |
| 13 | TSV Concordia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 71:91 | 39 |
| 14 | Alsterbruder | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 70:91 | 34 |
| 15 | Turkiye Wilhelmsburg | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 57:82 | 32 |
| 16 | Rugenbergen | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 46:84 | 30 |
| 17 | Tornesch | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 43:106 | 24 |
| 18 | Duneberg | 34 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 39:141 | 17 |
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
