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Ruggell vs Vaduz

Liechtenstein Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vaduz in this Liechtenstein Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-8. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ruggell
15%
Draws
46%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz have won more games recently than Ruggell.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Vaduz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaduz, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vaduz have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ruggell Clean Sheet 16%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruggell Vaduz
Matches Played 28 40
Wins 14 28
Draws 0 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.89 3.27
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2023 Liechtenstein Cup
Ruggell vs Vaduz
1:8
May 1, 2019 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Ruggell
3:2
Oct 25, 2016 Liechtenstein Cup
Ruggell vs Vaduz
0:11
Nov 3, 2015 Liechtenstein Cup
Ruggell vs Vaduz
0:4
Nov 5, 2014 Liechtenstein Cup
Ruggell vs Vaduz
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruggell 36 / 100
Vaduz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruggell Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.40 goals per match.

Ruggell scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Vaduz has conceded goals in 75% of their last 40 outings.

Recent resilience: Ruggell stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vaduz
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruggell

(Home)
29 Oct
Ruggell
0 : 1
Eschen/Mauren
17 Sept
Schaan
1 : 4
Ruggell
30 Oct
Ruggell
1 : 2
Balzers
10 Sept
Vaduz C
0 : 8
Ruggell
22 Aug
Ruggell
1 : 8
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Vaduz

(Away)
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Triesen C 0
Vaduz C 3
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren C -
Vaduz B -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers -
Schaan -
TBD -
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
Ruggell -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaduz -
Ruggell B -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers B -
Triesen B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesenberg -
Schaan B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesenberg B -
Eschen/Mauren B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesen -
1/8-finals
Vaduz C 3
Eschen/Mauren C 2
Vaduz B 0
Balzers 1
Schaan 1
Eschen/Mauren 2
Ruggell 1
Vaduz 8
Ruggell B 2
Balzers B 0
Triesen B 0
Triesenberg 8
Schaan B 6
Triesenberg B 1
Eschen/Mauren B 1
Triesen 2
Quarter-finals
Vaduz C 1
Balzers 6
Eschen/Mauren 1
Vaduz 2
Ruggell B 1
Triesenberg 2
Schaan B 1
Triesen 4
Semi-finals
Balzers 0
Vaduz 5
Triesenberg 2
Triesen 0
Final
Vaduz 5
Triesenberg 0