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Rukh Lviv vs Oleksandriya

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Arena Lviv
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cara T.
Assist: Vlasyuk D.
18'
Sub
Prokopenko N. In: Shulyanskyi A.
Out: Prokopenko N.
45'
Oharkov M.

AI Match Summary

Oleksandriya in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oleksandriya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rukh Lviv
6%
Draws
90%
Oleksandriya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Oleksandriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rukh Lviv have won more games recently than Oleksandriya.
  • Oleksandriya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Rukh Lviv Clean Sheet 19%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rukh Lviv Oleksandriya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.71 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Rukh Lviv vs Oleksandriya
1:3
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Rukh Lviv
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Rukh Lviv vs Oleksandriya
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Rukh Lviv
1:1
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Rukh Lviv
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rukh Lviv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Oleksandriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Cara T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rukh Lviv 10 / 100
Oleksandriya 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rukh Lviv Oleksandriya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oleksandriya has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Rukh Lviv scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Rukh Lviv remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rukh Lviv VS Oleksandriya
0.71 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413