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Rukinzo vs Aigle Noir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rukinzo host Aigle Noir in the Primus League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Rukinzo at 1.76 goals for, 0.76 against; Aigle Noir at 1.58 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Rukinzo have won 1 to Aigle Noir's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.94) point toward Aigle Noir. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rukinzo
30%
Draws
31%
Aigle Noir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rukinzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aigle Noir lately — more wins on the board than Rukinzo.
  • Rukinzo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rukinzo Clean Sheet 20%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rukinzo Aigle Noir
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 11 10
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.76 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Super Coupe
Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo
2:1
May 15, 2026 Coupe du President
Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Primus League
Rukinzo vs Aigle Noir
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo
2:1
May 3, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Rukinzo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rukinzo 85 / 100
Aigle Noir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rukinzo Aigle Noir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rukinzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rukinzo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Aigle Noir let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Rukinzo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rukinzo VS Aigle Noir
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rukinzo

(Home)
03 Oct
Rukinzo
7 : 0
Young Star
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
06 Sept
Durban City
1 : 0
Rukinzo
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
19 Aug
Musongati
0 : 0
Rukinzo
Page 1 of 6

Aigle Noir

(Away)
10 Oct
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
03 Oct
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Ngozi City
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 7 6 1 0 22:3 19
2 Muzinga 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Aigle Noir 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
4 Le Messager Ngozi 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Musongati 7 3 1 3 8:8 10
6 Olympic Star 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 Ngozi City 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
8 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 9:1 8
9 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 7:10 8
10 Bumamuru 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
11 Flambeau du Centre 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
12 Never Give Up Academy 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
13 Kayanza United 7 0 5 2 3:7 5
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Young Star 7 0 2 5 3:20 2
16 Panthere Noir 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)