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Rumelange vs Progres Niedercorn

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025
Rumelange Logo

Rumelange

1 - 3
FT
Progres Niedercorn Logo

Progres Niedercorn

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Progres Niedercorn in this Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rumelange
15%
Draws
85%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Progres Niedercorn have won more games recently than Rumelange.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Progres Niedercorn taking it.
  • Progres Niedercorn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Progres Niedercorn here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rumelange Clean Sheet 10%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rumelange Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Rumelange
3:0
Nov 10, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
Rumelange vs Progres Niedercorn
1:3
Apr 12, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Rumelange vs Progres Niedercorn
1:3
May 19, 2019 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Rumelange
3:0
Aug 5, 2018 BGL Ligue
Rumelange vs Progres Niedercorn
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rumelange 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rumelange Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Progres Niedercorn conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rumelange scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Progres Niedercorn has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rumelange VS Progres Niedercorn
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rumelange

(Home)
16 Sept
UNA Strassen
2 : 0
Rumelange
13 Sept
Rumelange
0 : 6
Bissen
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Rumelange
2 : 5
Jeunesse Esch
23 Aug
Dudelange
3 : 2
Rumelange
Page 1 of 6

Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1
UNA Strassen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lintgen 1
Bissen 0
Echternach 3
Ettelbruck 2
The Belval Belvaux 5
US Sandweiler 0
Clemency 0
Mondorf 4
Oberkorn 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Steinfort 0
Hesperange 3
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
Bettembourg 4
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
Luxembourg City 2
FC Orania Vianden 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 3
Koeppchen 2
Syra Mensdorf 2
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
US Feulen 1
FC Schengen 1
Hostert 5
Union Tetange 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
UNA Strassen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
FC Mamer 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Schifflange 3
FC Ehlerange 1
Fola 3
Mertzig 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Pfaffenthal 1
Kaerjeng 2
Jeunesse Useldange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Alliance Aischdall 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Differdange 14
AS Luxembourg/Porto 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mondercange 6
Izeg 0
Wiltz 4
Diekirch 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
Jeunesse Esch 7
US Folschette 0
Rumelange 6
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Progres Niedercorn 8
1/16-finals
Lintgen 2
Echternach 1
The Belval Belvaux 1
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Bettembourg 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
FC Orania Vianden 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
Dudelange 3
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Hostert 4
Union Tetange 0
UNA Strassen 8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Schifflange 0
Fola 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Differdange 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
FC Rodange 91 0
Mondercange 1
Wiltz 6
FC Residence Walferdange 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
1/8-finals
Lintgen 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Victoria Rosport 1
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Dudelange 4
Hostert 1
UNA Strassen 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Union Titus Petange 7
Kaerjeng 0
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Canach 1
Wiltz 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 2
Union Titus Petange 0
Differdange 2
Wiltz 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg 2
Dudelange 3
Differdange 3
Wiltz 0
Final
Dudelange 2
Differdange 3