Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rumilly Vallieres vs St. Maur Lusitanos

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Fouley Q.
88'
Diedhiou C.

AI Match Summary

Rumilly Vallieres in this National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rumilly Vallieres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rumilly Vallieres
30%
Draws
34%
St. Maur Lusitanos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rumilly Vallieres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rumilly Vallieres haven't matched St. Maur Lusitanos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rumilly Vallieres a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rumilly Vallieres Clean Sheet 14%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rumilly Vallieres St. Maur Lusitanos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Rumilly Vallieres vs St. Maur Lusitanos
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 National 1 - Group C
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Rumilly Vallieres
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rumilly Vallieres Compare

Top Goalscorer Fouley Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rumilly Vallieres 35 / 100
St. Maur Lusitanos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rumilly Vallieres St. Maur Lusitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rumilly Vallieres scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Maur Lusitanos conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Rumilly Vallieres went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rumilly Vallieres VS St. Maur Lusitanos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rumilly Vallieres

(Home)
16 May
Rumilly Vallieres
0 : 1
Creteil
09 May
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Rumilly Vallieres
02 May
Rumilly Vallieres
3 : 2
FC Bobigny 93
25 Apr
Toulon
2 : 1
Rumilly Vallieres
18 Apr
Rumilly Vallieres
1 : 3
Frejus Saint Raphael
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St. Maur Lusitanos

(Away)
18 Jul
Auxerre
5 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
16 May
Cannes
2 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
09 May
St. Maur Lusitanos
1 : 1
Hyeres
02 May
Saint Priest
2 : 3
St. Maur Lusitanos
25 Apr
Rousset Ste Victoire
0 : 3
St. Maur Lusitanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cannes30179453:3060
2Nimes30185746:2559
3St. Maur Lusitanos301510540:2455
4Rumilly Vallieres30138949:3647
5Hyeres301112736:2745
6Andrezieux30129948:3345
7Istres301110942:3243
8Creteil301271136:3443
9GOAL FC301181138:4640
10RC Grasse30991241:4236
11Frejus Saint Raphael30981337:5035
12Limonest30971436:4934
13FC Bobigny 93307111229:3132
14Toulon308101238:4731
15Saint Priest30791435:5030
16Rousset Ste Victoire30262228:7612
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)