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Rumori Calcio vs Kuressaare

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rumori Calcio play Kuressaare in the Estonian Cup 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rumori Calcio averaged 2.24 goals scored and 4.12 conceded. Kuressaare averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Rumori Calcio won 0, Kuressaare won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2017 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Rumori Calcio and 1.24 for Kuressaare. This points to a Kuressaare double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rumori Calcio
15%
Draws
52%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuressaare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Rumori Calcio picked up more points recently compared to Kuressaare.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Rumori Calcio Clean Sheet 19%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rumori Calcio Kuressaare
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 0 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.24 1.3
Goals Conceded 4.12 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2017 Estonian Cup
Rumori Calcio vs Kuressaare
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rumori Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Stern M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Poopuu E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rumori Calcio 34 / 100
Kuressaare 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rumori Calcio Kuressaare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kuressaare or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rumori Calcio attacking → ← attacking Kuressaare

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rumori Calcio scored in 82% of their last 17 games.

Kuressaare let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Rumori Calcio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kuressaare lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00