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Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette vs Mertert/Wasserbillig

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2021/2022
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette Logo

Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette

1 - 0
FT
Mertert/Wasserbillig Logo

Mertert/Wasserbillig

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette in this Luxembourg Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
6%
Draws
90%
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mertert/Wasserbillig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette haven't matched Mertert/Wasserbillig's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mertert/Wasserbillig's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mertert/Wasserbillig arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette Clean Sheet 10%
Mertert/Wasserbillig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette Mertert/Wasserbillig
Matches Played 9 23
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 3.83 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.83 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2021 Luxembourg Cup
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette vs Mertert/Wasserbillig
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 10 / 100
Mertert/Wasserbillig 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette Mertert/Wasserbillig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mertert/Wasserbillig let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Mertert/Wasserbillig's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette VS Mertert/Wasserbillig
1 Goals Scored 2.63
3.83 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 88%
83% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette

(Home)
06 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 6
Mondercange
31 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
0 : 4
Differdange
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0
Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
0 : 4
Jeunesse Canach
22 Sept
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
2 : 5
Blo Weiss Itzig
Page 1 of 2

Mertert/Wasserbillig

(Away)
06 Oct
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 3
Schifflange
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0
Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Echternach
1 : 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig
10 Nov
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 2
Dudelange
22 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
1 : 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
US Rambrouch1
Kaerjeng3
FC Red Black/Egalite 071
Wiltz4
FC Schengen3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
US Sandweiler0
Hostert4
Koeppchen0
Rumelange1
Miniere Lasauvage3
Mondercange8
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf0
Blo Weiss Medernach4
Lorentzweiler0
Fola7
CS Sanem0
Esch2
The Belval Belvaux0
Jeunesse Esch3
Cebra2
Progres Niedercorn3
AS Colmar-Berg0
Hesperange11
Jeunesse Useldange2
Jeunesse Junglinster0
Les Ardoisiers Perle1
Mondorf9
Red Boys Aspelt0
Alisontia Steinsel4
Oberkorn0
Dudelange4
Avenir Beggen2
UNA Strassen5
FC Orania Vianden0
FC Rodange 914
Blo Weiss Itzig0
Victoria Rosport6
Union Tetange4
Union Titus Petange5
AS Wincrange0
Bettembourg2
Grevenmacher0
FC Mamer2
Kehlen1
Berdenia Berbourg0
Union Remich/Bous0
Ettelbruck11
Syra Mensdorf1
Schifflange4
Diekirch0
Luxembourg City4
FC Munsbach1
Jeunesse Canach3
Alliance Aischdall1
Bissen3
FC Residence Walferdange0
FC Marisca Mersch1
Sporting Bertrange1
Racing Luxembourg3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette1
Mertert/Wasserbillig0
US Boevange/Attert0
Differdange3
1/16-finals
Kaerjeng3
Wiltz2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler1
Hostert0
Rumelange0
Mondercange5
Blo Weiss Medernach0
Fola2
Esch2
Jeunesse Esch1
Progres Niedercorn2
Hesperange1
Jeunesse Useldange2
Mondorf4
Alisontia Steinsel2
Dudelange6
UNA Strassen2
FC Rodange 911
Victoria Rosport2
Union Titus Petange4
Bettembourg1
FC Mamer0
Kehlen0
Ettelbruck4
Schifflange3
Luxembourg City0
Jeunesse Canach2
Bissen1
FC Marisca Mersch0
Racing Luxembourg6
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette0
Differdange4
1/8-finals
Kaerjeng2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler0
Mondercange0
Fola4
Esch3
Progres Niedercorn9
Mondorf0
Dudelange4
UNA Strassen0
Union Titus Petange1
Bettembourg2
Ettelbruck4
Schifflange2
Jeunesse Canach1
Racing Luxembourg1
Differdange0
Quarter-finals
Kaerjeng0
Fola4
Progres Niedercorn0
Dudelange2
Union Titus Petange2
Ettelbruck0
Schifflange0
Racing Luxembourg3
Semi-finals
Fola4
Dudelange5
Union Titus Petange0
Racing Luxembourg1
Final
Dudelange2
Racing Luxembourg3