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Rushall vs Ilkeston

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
McAlinden L.
56'
Roberts A.
56'
Ram M.

AI Match Summary

Rushall in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rushall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Rushall
15%
Draws
36%
Ilkeston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rushall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rushall average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Ilkeston's 1.29.
  • Rushall are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rushall Clean Sheet 16%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rushall Ilkeston
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Rushall vs Ilkeston
2:0
Dec 26, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Rushall
5:1
Feb 25, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Ilkeston vs Rushall
1:1
Oct 11, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Rushall vs Ilkeston
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rushall Compare

Top Goalscorer McAlinden L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dwyer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ilkeston Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rushall 41 / 100
Ilkeston 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rushall Ilkeston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rushall's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ilkeston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rushall remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rushall VS Ilkeston
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rushall

(Home)
15 Aug
Leiston
1 : 2
Rushall
11 Aug
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Rushall
08 Aug
Rushall
2 : 1
Hitchin
01 Aug
Malvern Town
1 : 2
Rushall
25 Jul
Shifnal Town
1 : 2
Rushall
Page 1 of 6

Ilkeston

(Away)
15 Aug
Whitby
2 : 0
Ilkeston
11 Aug
AFC Emley
1 : 2
Ilkeston
08 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 0
Stockton
28 Jul
Ilkeston
4 : 1
Basford Utd.
11 Jul
Worksop
3 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)