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Rushall vs Morpeth

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Dwyer A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Rushall and Morpeth finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rushall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Rushall
15%
Draws
31%
Morpeth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rushall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rushall come out ahead of Morpeth on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rushall a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rushall Clean Sheet 18%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rushall Morpeth
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Rushall vs Morpeth
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Rushall
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rushall Compare

Top Goalscorer Dwyer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Morpeth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rushall 76 / 100
Morpeth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rushall Morpeth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rushall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rushall found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Morpeth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Rushall went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rushall VS Morpeth
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rushall

(Home)
15 Aug
Leiston
1 : 2
Rushall
11 Aug
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Rushall
08 Aug
Rushall
2 : 1
Hitchin
01 Aug
Malvern Town
1 : 2
Rushall
25 Jul
Shifnal Town
1 : 2
Rushall
Page 1 of 6

Morpeth

(Away)
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2
Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0
Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0
Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0
Morpeth
06 Apr
Morpeth
3 : 0
Whitby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)