Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Russia vs Mali

World World

Friendly International Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Oblyakov I.
Penalty Missed
44'
Glushenkov M.
64'
Sub
Vorobyev D. In: Komlichenko N.
Out: Vorobyev D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Russia
30%
Draws
23%
Mali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Russia lately — more wins on the board than Mali.
  • Win probability leans Russia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Russia Clean Sheet 68%
Mali Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Mali
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.75 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Russia vs Mali
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 95 / 100
Mali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Mali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Russia scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Russia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mali let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Mali
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia

(Home)
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 May
Egypt
1 : 0
Russia
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
Page 1 of 6

Mali

(Away)
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
09 Jan
Mali
0 : 1
Senegal
03 Jan
Mali
2 : 1
Tunisia
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
Page 1 of 7