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Russia vs Paraguay

World World

Friendly International 2024 VTB Arena, Moscow
Mon, Mar 25, 2024
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Russia host Paraguay in the Friendly International 2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Russia have averaged 2.81 scored and 0.56 conceded recently, against Paraguay's 1.1 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Russia have won 0 to Paraguay's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.00) back Russia to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Russia
20%
Draws
33%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Russia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Russia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Russia Clean Sheet 68%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Paraguay
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.81 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Russia vs Paraguay
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 95 / 100
Paraguay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Russia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Paraguay let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Paraguay
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia

(Home)
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 May
Egypt
1 : 0
Russia
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
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Paraguay

(Away)
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
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