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Rust vs Margarethen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Burgenland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Margarethen in this Burgenland matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Margarethen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rust
30%
Draws
43%
Margarethen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Margarethen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Margarethen lately — more wins on the board than Rust.
  • Win probability leans Rust's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rust Clean Sheet 10%
Margarethen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rust Margarethen
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.89 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Burgenland
Rust vs Margarethen
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rust 38 / 100
Margarethen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rust Margarethen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rust's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Margarethen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Rust remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rust VS Margarethen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rust

(Home)
04 Oct
SK Pama
1 : 0
Rust
27 Sept
Rust
4 : 0
Lackenbach
19 Sept
Rust
4 : 1
Halbturn
13 Sept
SV Eberau
2 : 2
Rust
08 Sept
Rust
1 : 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf
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Margarethen

(Away)
02 Oct
Oberpullendorf
1 : 2
Margarethen
26 Sept
Margarethen
1 : 1
Neusiedl
18 Sept
Kohfidisch
2 : 2
Margarethen
12 Sept
Margarethen
2 : 0
Neudorf/Parndorf
04 Sept
Deutschkreutz
1 : 2
Margarethen
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