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Ruthin Town vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
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Match Events

57' Event
Phillips S.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Ruthin Town and Caersws FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caersws FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ruthin Town
17%
Draws
70%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caersws FC come out ahead of Ruthin Town on wins alone.
  • Caersws FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caersws FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 14%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruthin Town Caersws FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Caersws FC
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Ruthin Town
5:1
Sep 28, 2024 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Caersws FC
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Ruthin Town
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Caersws FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruthin Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruthin Town 15 / 100
Caersws FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruthin Town Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ruthin Town scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Caersws FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ruthin Town has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ruthin Town VS Caersws FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423