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Rutsiro vs Al Merreikh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Rutsiro Logo

Rutsiro

0 - 1
FT
Al Merreikh Logo

Al Merreikh

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Merreikh in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Merreikh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rutsiro
20%
Draws
51%
Al Merreikh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Merreikh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Merreikh have won more games recently than Rutsiro.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 14%
Al Merreikh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rutsiro Al Merreikh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Merreikh vs Rutsiro
0:0
Dec 3, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Al Merreikh
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rutsiro 31 / 100
Al Merreikh 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rutsiro Al Merreikh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Merreikh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rutsiro's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Merreikh has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rutsiro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rutsiro VS Al Merreikh
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rutsiro

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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Al Merreikh

(Away)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Al Merreikh
05 Sept
Al Merreikh
1 : 0
Power Dynamos
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
27 May
Al Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)