Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rutsiro vs Kigali FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Rutsiro Logo

Rutsiro

2 - 1
FT
Kigali FC Logo

Kigali FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rutsiro in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rutsiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rutsiro
20%
Draws
40%
Kigali FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rutsiro at 0.87 per game, Kigali FC at 0.75.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rutsiro taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 20%
Kigali FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rutsiro Kigali FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.87 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Kigali FC
2:1
Jan 9, 2026 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Rutsiro
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Kigali FC
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Rutsiro
0:0
May 21, 2023 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Rutsiro
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rutsiro 36 / 100
Kigali FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rutsiro Kigali FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kigali FC let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Kigali FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rutsiro scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Rutsiro VS Kigali FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rutsiro

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

Kigali FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)