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Ruvu Shooting vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Suleiman A.
66' Event
Lyanga A.
75' Event
Lyanga A.

AI Match Summary

Azam in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ruvu Shooting
15%
Draws
85%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Azam lately — more wins on the board than Ruvu Shooting.
  • Azam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Azam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ruvu Shooting Clean Sheet 17%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruvu Shooting Azam
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Azam
1:3
Nov 15, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Ruvu Shooting
1:0
May 24, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Azam
1:1
Dec 23, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Ruvu Shooting
4:1
Jul 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Azam
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruvu Shooting Compare

Top Goalscorer Pius M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyanga A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Suleiman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruvu Shooting 10 / 100
Azam 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruvu Shooting Azam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ruvu Shooting scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Azam let in goals in 34% of their last 32 matches.

Azam's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Azam
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruvu Shooting

(Home)
09 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
06 Jun
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
12 May
Simba
3 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
22 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
1 : 3
Azam
09 Apr
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
Page 1 of 6

Azam

(Away)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)