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Stadium Background

RW Essen vs FC Viktoria Koln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Menzel T.
Assist: Pesch N.
44'
Geschwill M.
46'
Sub
Castelle N. H. In: Maboulou N.
Out: Castelle N. H.

AI Match Summary

RW Essen in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
RW Essen
35%
Draws
34%
FC Viktoria Koln
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • RW Essen have won more games recently than FC Viktoria Koln.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RW Essen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 11%
FC Viktoria Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen FC Viktoria Koln
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.32 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 3. Liga
RW Essen vs FC Viktoria Koln
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs RW Essen
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 3. Liga
RW Essen vs FC Viktoria Koln
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs RW Essen
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 3. Liga
RW Essen vs FC Viktoria Koln
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Menzel T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC Viktoria Koln Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 30 / 100
FC Viktoria Koln 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen FC Viktoria Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Viktoria Koln Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FC Viktoria Koln has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

RW Essen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS FC Viktoria Koln
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

(Home)
09 Oct
Preussen Munster
3 : 3
RW Essen
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
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FC Viktoria Koln

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2
1. FC Koln
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
15 Sept
Meppen
1 : 3
FC Viktoria Koln
11 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
4 : 0
Hansa Rostock
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 8 7 0 1 22:9 21
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Hansa Rostock 8 4 3 1 17:15 15
5 Saarbrucken 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
6 Mannheim 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
7 Hoffenheim II 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
8 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
9 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
10 Fortuna Koln 8 2 4 2 8:8 10
11 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
12 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
13 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 18:17 8
14 VfB Stuttgart II 8 2 2 4 13:16 8
15 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
16 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
17 Wurzburger Kickers 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
18 Meppen 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 8 1 1 6 10:20 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)