Sport Picks
RW Essen vs RB Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
DFB Pokal Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. RB Leipzig have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while RW Essen have conceded 1.48 and scored 2.14. Past meetings favor RW Essen slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2024, ending 1:4. xG projections (2.06 - 1.81) back RW Essen to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- RB Leipzig have won more games recently than RW Essen.
- RW Essen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- RB Leipzig arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor RB Leipzig, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors RW Essen here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RW Essen | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RW Essen Compare
RB Leipzig Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RW Essen found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
RB Leipzig's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
RW Essen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
