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Stadium Background

RW Essen vs Regensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RW Essen host Regensburg in the 3. Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. RW Essen have averaged 2.31 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Regensburg's 1.86 scored and 1.82 conceded. Past meetings favor RW Essen slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 1.38) point toward RW Essen. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
RW Essen
35%
Draws
23%
Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RW Essen lately — more wins on the board than Regensburg.
  • Model gives RW Essen a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and RW Essen have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 17%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen Regensburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.31 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Regensburg
3:2
Sep 12, 2025 3. Liga
Regensburg vs RW Essen
1:3
Feb 10, 2024 3. Liga
Regensburg vs RW Essen
1:3
Sep 16, 2023 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Regensburg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 66 / 100
Regensburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Regensburg conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: RW Essen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS Regensburg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

(Home)
13 Oct
RW Essen
2 : 0
Fortuna Koln
09 Oct
Preussen Munster
3 : 3
RW Essen
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
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Regensburg

(Away)
10 Oct
Regensburg
5 : 0
TSV Havelse
01 Oct
Regensburg
0 : 6
Tirol
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 3
Regensburg
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 2
Regensburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 9 8 0 1 26:11 24
2 FC Viktoria Koln 8 6 0 2 24:11 18
3 RW Essen 9 5 3 1 18:12 18
4 Hansa Rostock 9 4 3 2 17:17 15
5 Saarbrucken 9 4 2 3 21:16 14
6 Mannheim 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
7 Hoffenheim II 9 4 1 4 18:14 13
8 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
9 Alemannia Aachen 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Dusseldorf 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
11 VfB Stuttgart II 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
12 Verl 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
13 Fortuna Koln 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
14 Meppen 9 3 1 5 11:16 10
15 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 18:17 8
16 Wurzburger Kickers 9 2 2 5 13:19 8
17 Ingolstadt 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
18 Wehen 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
19 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
20 TSV Havelse 9 1 2 6 12:22 5
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)