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Rwanda vs Grenada Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

FIFA Series Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mickels J.
Assist: Kwizera J.
45' Event
Kwizera J.
Assist: Biramahire A.
46'
Sub
Phillip C. In: Thomas T.
Out: Phillip C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rwanda
15%
Draws
0%
Grenada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Grenada haven't matched Rwanda's recent run of results.
  • Rwanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rwanda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rwanda, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%
Grenada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda Grenada
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.96 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 FIFA Series
Rwanda vs Grenada
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rwanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Mickels J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kwizera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Grenada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda 95 / 100
Grenada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda Grenada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Grenada has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Grenada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Rwanda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda VS Grenada
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda

(Home)
29 Sept
Cape Verde
1 : 2
Rwanda
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
Page 1 of 6

Grenada

(Away)
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Azerbaijan 6
Saint Lucia 1
Oman -
Sierra Leone -
Indonesia 4
Saint Kitts and Nevis 0
Solomon Islands 2
Bulgaria 10
Kazakhstan -
Comoros -
Kuwait -
Namibia -
United States Virgin Islands 5
American Samoa 2
Puerto Rico 4
Guam 0
Rwanda 4
Grenada 0
Kenya 1
Estonia 2
Aruba 4
Macau 1
Tanzania 0
Liechtenstein 1
Final
Azerbaijan 2
Sierra Leone 1
Indonesia 0
Bulgaria 1
TBD -
TBD -
United States Virgin Islands 0
Puerto Rico 2
Rwanda 2
Estonia 0
Aruba 4
Liechtenstein 1