Sport Picks
Rwanda vs South Sudan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Africa
African Nations Championship 
Match Events
33'
33'
Mugisha D.
45'
45'
Muhire K.
Penalty Missed
56'
56'
Muhire K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rwanda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rwanda come out ahead of South Sudan on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Rwanda's way, sitting at 90%.
- Rwanda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rwanda, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%
South Sudan Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rwanda | South Sudan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
Rwanda vs South Sudan
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
South Sudan vs Rwanda
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rwanda Compare
Top Goalscorer Mugisha D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Muhire K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
South Sudan Compare
Top Goalscorer Sebit D. O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rwanda 95 / 100
South Sudan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rwanda South Sudan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rwanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Rwanda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: South Sudan conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Away concern: South Sudan has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rwanda VS South Sudan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rwanda
(Home) 05 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 0 Kenya
29 Sept
Cape Verde
1 : 2 Rwanda
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1 Liberia
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0 Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0 Grenada
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 0 Kenya
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1 Liberia
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0 Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0 Grenada
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1 Benin
Page 1 of 3
South Sudan
(Away) 29 Sept
South Sudan
0 : 5 Egypt
25 Sept
Malawi
2 : 1 South Sudan
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1 Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4 South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0 South Sudan
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Malawi
2 : 1 South Sudan
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4 South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0 South Sudan
09 Sept
Mauritania
0 : 0 South Sudan
25 Mar
Sudan
1 : 1 South Sudan
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
