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Rwanda W vs Uganda W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Sun, Jul 16, 2023
0 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

100' Event
Ikwaput F.

AI Match Summary

Uganda W in this Olympic Games Women 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rwanda W
15%
Draws
73%
Uganda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Rwanda W haven't matched Uganda W's recent run of results.
  • Uganda W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Uganda W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rwanda W Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda W Uganda W
Matches Played 26 34
Wins 3 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Rwanda W vs Uganda W
0:1
Jul 12, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Uganda W vs Rwanda W
3:3
Jun 1, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Rwanda W
2:0
Jul 25, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Uganda W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rwanda W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uganda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikwaput F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda W 10 / 100
Uganda W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda W Uganda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Uganda W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Uganda W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Rwanda W found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (24 games).

Scoring Trends

Rwanda W VS Uganda W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda W

(Home)
07 Oct
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Ethiopia W
25 Feb
Egypt W
2 : 2
Rwanda W
21 Feb
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Egypt W
26 Sept
Ghana W
5 : 0
Rwanda W
20 Sept
Rwanda W
0 : 7
Ghana W
Page 1 of 6

Uganda W

(Away)
08 Oct
Uganda W
2 : 1
Zambia W
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guinea Bissau W 4
Benin W 5
Guinea W 0
Ghana W 7
Burkina Faso W 2
Mali W 3
TBD -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Sierra Leone W -
TBD -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 0
TBD -
Morocco W -
Uganda W 4
Rwanda W 3
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Ethiopia W 10
Chad W 0
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W -
Tanzania W -
TBD -
Botswana W -
Mozambique W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
South Africa W -
Quarter-finals
Benin W 0
Ghana W 5
Mali W -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 0
Morocco W 4
Uganda W 2
Cameroon W 3
Ethiopia W 1
Nigeria W 5
Tanzania W 3
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 3
Semi-finals
Ghana W 3
Zambia W 4
Tunisia W 2
Morocco W 6
Cameroon W 0
Nigeria W 1
Tanzania W 0
South Africa W 4
Final
Zambia W 3
Morocco W 2
Nigeria W 1
South Africa W 0