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RWDM Brussels vs Renaissance Mons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RWDM Brussels host Renaissance Mons in the National Division 1 - ACFF. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: RWDM Brussels at 1.46 goals for, 1.57 against; Renaissance Mons at 1.83 for, 1.03 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.63) point toward Renaissance Mons. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
RWDM Brussels
20%
Draws
40%
Renaissance Mons
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renaissance Mons lately — more wins on the board than RWDM Brussels.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
RWDM Brussels Clean Sheet 14%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RWDM Brussels Renaissance Mons
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RWDM Brussels 35 / 100
Renaissance Mons 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RWDM Brussels Renaissance Mons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renaissance Mons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RWDM Brussels's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: RWDM Brussels stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Renaissance Mons's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Renaissance Mons lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RWDM Brussels VS Renaissance Mons
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

RWDM Brussels

(Home)
10 Oct
RWDM Brussels
2 : 1
Tubize-Braine
03 Oct
St. Gilloise 2
4 : 2
RWDM Brussels
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1
Union Rochefortoise
19 Sept
Meux
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0
Charleroi B
Page 1 of 6

Renaissance Mons

(Away)
11 Oct
Habay La Neuve
2 : 2
Renaissance Mons
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2
Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Renaissance Mons
4 : 0
Flenu
26 Sept
Londerzeel
0 : 4
Renaissance Mons
20 Sept
Onhaye
2 : 5
Renaissance Mons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RWDM Brussels 8 6 1 1 13:7 19
2 Union Rochefortoise 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Meux 8 5 1 2 15:8 16
4 St. Gilloise 2 8 4 2 2 15:10 14
5 Tubize-Braine 8 4 2 2 11:10 14
6 Renaissance Mons 8 3 2 3 18:15 11
7 St. Liege U23 8 3 1 4 12:7 10
8 Charleroi B 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
9 OC Charleroi 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
10 Onhaye 8 2 0 6 10:20 6
11 Habay La Neuve 8 1 3 4 7:12 6
12 Flenu 8 0 1 7 10:26 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)