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RWDM Brussels vs Royal Excel Mouscron

Belgium Belgium

1B Pro League 2021/2022 Edmond Machtens Stadium, Brussels
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
de Camargo I.
Assist: El Ouahdi Z.
14'
Angiulli M.
27'
Le Joncour F.

AI Match Summary

The 1B Pro League 2021/2022 game between RWDM Brussels and Royal Excel Mouscron finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RWDM Brussels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
RWDM Brussels
15%
Draws
14%
Royal Excel Mouscron
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RWDM Brussels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RWDM Brussels come out ahead of Royal Excel Mouscron on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans RWDM Brussels's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1B Pro League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RWDM Brussels have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
RWDM Brussels Clean Sheet 19%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RWDM Brussels Royal Excel Mouscron
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs RWDM Brussels
0:1
Jan 30, 2022 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs Royal Excel Mouscron
2:0
Oct 22, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs RWDM Brussels
1:1
Aug 14, 2021 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs Royal Excel Mouscron
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RWDM Brussels Compare

Top Goalscorer de Camargo I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Le Joncour F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Royal Excel Mouscron Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RWDM Brussels 85 / 100
Royal Excel Mouscron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RWDM Brussels Royal Excel Mouscron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RWDM Brussels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RWDM Brussels's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: RWDM Brussels remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Royal Excel Mouscron has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

RWDM Brussels VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RWDM Brussels

(Home)
19 Sept
Meux
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0
Charleroi B
06 Sept
Onhaye
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
29 Aug
RWDM Brussels
3 : 0
Flenu
26 Aug
Habay La Neuve
1 : 2
RWDM Brussels
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Royal Excel Mouscron

(Away)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westerlo 28 17 5 6 52:29 56
2 RWDM Brussels 28 14 7 7 41:33 49
3 SK Beveren 28 12 5 11 47:40 41
4 Deinze 28 9 12 7 47:39 39
5 Lierse SK 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
6 Lommel SK 28 9 8 11 39:40 35
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 31:45 30
8 Virton 28 5 6 17 24:52 21
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2022/2023 (Main)
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