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Ryazan vs FK Shumbrat Saransk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ryazan host FK Shumbrat Saransk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FK Shumbrat Saransk have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Ryazan have conceded 0.67 and scored 1.77. Past meetings favor FK Shumbrat Saransk slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.94) point toward Ryazan. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ryazan
20%
Draws
28%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ryazan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ryazan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 20%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan FK Shumbrat Saransk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Ryazan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 85 / 100
FK Shumbrat Saransk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan FK Shumbrat Saransk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryazan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ryazan's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FK Shumbrat Saransk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ryazan VS FK Shumbrat Saransk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryazan

(Home)
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Ryazan
17 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
11 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
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FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Away)
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
05 Sept
M. Lipetsk
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
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