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Ryazan vs Kursk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mishutin M.
36' Event
Pogrebnev N.
41' Event
Prokurorov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Ryazan and Kursk finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ryazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ryazan
30%
Draws
19%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ryazan come out ahead of Kursk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ryazan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 20%
Kursk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan Kursk
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Kursk
4:0
Jun 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs Ryazan
0:0
Oct 24, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Ryazan
3:0
Aug 27, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Ryazan vs Kursk
1:1
Oct 19, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Ryazan vs Kursk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mishutin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pogrebnev N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kursk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 85 / 100
Kursk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan Kursk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryazan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ryazan scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Kursk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ryazan VS Kursk
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryazan

(Home)
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Ryazan
17 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
11 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
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Kursk

(Away)
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
26 Sept
Kursk
1 : 1
R. Volgograd 2
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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