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Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Evgenjev E.
45' Event
Barkov A.
85' Event
Mishutin M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Ryazan and Rodina Moscow 3 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ryazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ryazan
15%
Draws
41%
Rodina Moscow 3
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Ryazan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ryazan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ryazan have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 18%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan Rodina Moscow 3
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Ryazan
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Ryazan
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Evgenjev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barkov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 67 / 100
Rodina Moscow 3 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan Rodina Moscow 3

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rodina Moscow 3 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Ryazan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ryazan scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ryazan VS Rodina Moscow 3
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryazan

(Home)
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Ryazan
17 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
11 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
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Rodina Moscow 3

(Away)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
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