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Ryazan vs Sakhalinets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Purak V.
52' Event
Ustinov A.
90' Event
Gainullin R. R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 game between Ryazan and Sakhalinets finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakhalinets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ryazan
15%
Draws
46%
Sakhalinets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhalinets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ryazan haven't matched Sakhalinets's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ryazan a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan Sakhalinets
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 13 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Sakhalinets
1:2
Sep 26, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Ryazan
1:1
Jul 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Ryazan vs Sakhalinets
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Purak V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Ustinov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gainullin R. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 76 / 100
Sakhalinets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan Sakhalinets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sakhalinets conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ryazan scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Ryazan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ryazan VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryazan

(Home)
11 Aug
Kvant Obninsk
0 : 2
Ryazan
08 Aug
M. Lipetsk
0 : 0
Ryazan
26 Jul
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 5
Ryazan
04 Jul
Ryazan
3 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk 2
27 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 0
Ryazan
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Sakhalinets

(Away)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)