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Ryazan vs SKA Khabarovsk 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ryazan play SKA Khabarovsk 2 in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ryazan averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. SKA Khabarovsk 2 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Ryazan won 4, SKA Khabarovsk 2 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Ryazan and 1.38 for SKA Khabarovsk 2. This points to a Ryazan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ryazan
29%
Draws
32%
SKA Khabarovsk 2
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Ryazan picked up more points recently compared to SKA Khabarovsk 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 17%
SKA Khabarovsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan SKA Khabarovsk 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 14 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs Ryazan
1:1
May 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs Ryazan
2:3
Jun 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Pogrebnev N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barkov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SKA Khabarovsk 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 39 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan SKA Khabarovsk 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ryazan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ryazan attacking → ← attacking SKA Khabarovsk 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryazan scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

SKA Khabarovsk 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ryazan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SKA Khabarovsk 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 40
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00