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Rydalmere Lions vs Newcastle Jets U23

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kanai Y.
87' Event
Pintur N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Rydalmere Lions and Newcastle Jets U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Rydalmere Lions
35%
Draws
28%
Newcastle Jets U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rydalmere Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Newcastle Jets U23 haven't matched Rydalmere Lions's recent run of results.
  • Rydalmere Lions are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Rydalmere Lions Clean Sheet 15%
Newcastle Jets U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rydalmere Lions Newcastle Jets U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NSW League One
Rydalmere Lions vs Newcastle Jets U23
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 NSW League One
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Rydalmere Lions
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 NSW League One
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Rydalmere Lions
4:4
Mar 29, 2025 NSW League One
Rydalmere Lions vs Newcastle Jets U23
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rydalmere Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanai Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Newcastle Jets U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rydalmere Lions 39 / 100
Newcastle Jets U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rydalmere Lions Newcastle Jets U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rydalmere Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rydalmere Lions found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Newcastle Jets U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Solid form: Rydalmere Lions remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rydalmere Lions VS Newcastle Jets U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rydalmere Lions

(Home)
29 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
3 : 2
Dulwich Hill
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1
Rydalmere Lions
15 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
0 : 3
Prospect United
08 Aug
Northern Tigers
2 : 1
Rydalmere Lions
01 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
1 : 1
Newcastle Jets U23
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Jets U23

(Away)
29 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
2 : 9
Bankstown City Lions FC
22 Aug
Hakoah Sydney
3 : 3
Newcastle Jets U23
15 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 3
Dulwich Hill
08 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 1
Central Coast U23
01 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
1 : 1
Newcastle Jets U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)