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Stadium Background

Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, Okinawa
Ryukyu Logo

Ryukyu

1 - 3
FT
Gainare Tottori Logo

Gainare Tottori

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sota K.
21' Event
Yajima S.
42' Event
Kaneura M.
Assist: Yajima S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gainare Tottori in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gainare Tottori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ryukyu
15%
Draws
42%
Gainare Tottori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ryukyu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ryukyu haven't matched Gainare Tottori's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 68%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryukyu Gainare Tottori
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 1 1
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Ryukyu
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori
1:0
May 3, 2025 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Ryukyu
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 J3 League
Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryukyu Compare

Top Goalscorer Sota K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gainare Tottori Compare

Top Goalscorer Yajima S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaneura M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryukyu 41 / 100
Gainare Tottori 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryukyu Gainare Tottori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryukyu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Ryukyu's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ryukyu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ryukyu VS Gainare Tottori
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryukyu

(Home)
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1
Ryukyu
02 Sept
Ryukyu
2 : 3
Yokohama FC
29 Aug
Ryukyu
2 : 1
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

Gainare Tottori

(Away)
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4
Gainare Tottori
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3
Renofa Yamaguchi
02 Sept
Gainare Tottori
3 : 1
Omiya Ardija
30 Aug
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)