Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium

Giravanz Kitakyushu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ryukyu play Giravanz Kitakyushu in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ryukyu averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Giravanz Kitakyushu averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Ryukyu won 0, Giravanz Kitakyushu won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Ryukyu and 1.31 for Giravanz Kitakyushu. This points to a Giravanz Kitakyushu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Ryukyu

15%

Draws

50%

Giravanz Kitakyushu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Giravanz Kitakyushu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ryukyu picked up more points recently compared to Giravanz Kitakyushu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Ryukyu Clean Sheet 18%

Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ryukyu	Giravanz Kitakyushu
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	9
Draws	3	0
Losses	19	20
Goals Scored	1.03	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.9
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 J2/J3 League

Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Ryukyu

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Oct 25, 2025 J3 League

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Ryukyu

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

May 17, 2025 J3 League

Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 4 - 0

0:1

Jul 27, 2024 J3 League

Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryukyu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Top Goalscorer Hirahara R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Watanabe S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryukyu 35 / 100

Giravanz Kitakyushu 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ryukyu Giravanz Kitakyushu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Giravanz Kitakyushu or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ryukyu attacking → ← attacking Giravanz Kitakyushu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryukyu scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Giravanz Kitakyushu let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Ryukyu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Giravanz Kitakyushu lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 27

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15