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S. Agata vs Canicatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Squillace T.
31' Event
Capogna P.
87' Event
Loza B.

AI Match Summary

S. Agata in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Agata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
S. Agata
30%
Draws
47%
Canicatti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canicatti lately — more wins on the board than S. Agata.
  • Canicatti are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • S. Agata have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 18%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata Canicatti
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Canicatti
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs S. Agata
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs S. Agata
4:1
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Canicatti
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Squillace T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capogna P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Loza B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 28 / 100
Canicatti 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata Canicatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canicatti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Canicatti let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

S. Agata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Agata VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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Canicatti

(Away)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)