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S. Kostroma vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Stadion Urozhay
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Match Events

23' Event
Filev A.
28'
Gogic F.
46'
Sub
Bokov D. In: Chupayov A.
Out: Bokov D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between S. Kostroma and FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
S. Kostroma
6%
Draws
4%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and S. Kostroma come out ahead of FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye on wins alone.
  • Model gives S. Kostroma a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs S. Kostroma
2:4
Oct 15, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs S. Kostroma
1:2
Aug 19, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Filev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 95 / 100
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

S. Kostroma's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622