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S. Kostroma vs Leningradets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma host Leningradets in the FNL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. S. Kostroma have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Leningradets's 1.15 scored and 1.81 conceded. Head-to-head, S. Kostroma have won 1 to Leningradets's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Leningradets. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
S. Kostroma
15%
Draws
37%
Leningradets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and S. Kostroma come out ahead of Leningradets on wins alone.
  • Model gives S. Kostroma a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Leningradets have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 20%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Leningradets
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Leningradets
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs S. Kostroma
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs S. Kostroma
2:0
Jul 28, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Leningradets
2:1
Jun 4, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 2
Leningradets vs S. Kostroma
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 76 / 100
Leningradets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Leningradets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: S. Kostroma scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Leningradets conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

S. Kostroma has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Leningradets
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2
S. Kostroma
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
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Leningradets

(Away)
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)