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S. Kostroma vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma host Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: S. Kostroma at 1.24 goals for, 1 against; Pari Nizhny Novgorod at 2.5 for, 1.21 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.88, favoring Pari Nizhny Novgorod. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
S. Kostroma
15%
Draws
53%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pari Nizhny Novgorod lately — more wins on the board than S. Kostroma.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Pari Nizhny Novgorod taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 10%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Kostroma Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.24 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Kostroma 10 / 100
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Kostroma Pari Nizhny Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Kostroma scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: S. Kostroma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

S. Kostroma VS Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Kostroma

(Home)
17 Oct
S. Kostroma
2 : 0
Leningradets
13 Oct
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2
S. Kostroma
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
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Pari Nizhny Novgorod

(Away)
24 Oct
Ufa
0 : 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
18 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
14 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0
Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 15 13 1 1 44:15 40
2 PFC Sochi 15 10 2 3 26:15 32
3 Torpedo Moscow 15 8 4 3 27:12 28
4 Ural 15 8 4 3 25:11 28
5 S. Kostroma 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
6 Veles Moscow 16 8 3 5 20:19 27
7 Ulyanovsk 16 6 3 7 21:22 21
8 Ufa 15 5 6 4 18:15 21
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 14 4 8 2 18:14 20
10 Arsenal Tula 15 5 4 6 19:29 19
11 R. Volgograd 15 5 4 6 23:18 19
12 Chelyabinsk 15 4 3 8 19:26 15
13 Yenisey 15 3 5 7 16:30 14
14 Kamaz 15 3 4 8 19:27 13
15 Leningradets 14 3 4 7 11:25 13
16 Neftekhimik 14 4 0 10 10:21 12
17 SKA Khabarovsk 15 2 4 9 18:28 10
18 Tekstilshtik 15 2 4 9 11:25 10
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)