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S. Morning vs Atletico Colina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal de La Pintana, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Arancibia M.
5' Event
Alvarez F.
36'
Palomo N.

AI Match Summary

S. Morning in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Morning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
S. Morning
35%
Draws
32%
Atletico Colina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Colina lately — more wins on the board than S. Morning.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • S. Morning have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Colina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Morning Atletico Colina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Segunda Division
S. Morning vs Atletico Colina
2:1
Jun 15, 2021 Copa Chile
Atletico Colina vs S. Morning
1:0
Mar 23, 2019 Copa Chile
Atletico Colina vs S. Morning
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Morning Compare

Top Goalscorer Arancibia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monje J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Atletico Colina Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Morning 41 / 100
Atletico Colina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Morning Atletico Colina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Morning Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: S. Morning stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

S. Morning's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Colina has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

S. Morning VS Atletico Colina
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Morning

(Home)
12 Sept
S. Morning
0 : 0
General Velasquez
06 Sept
Deportes Rengo
2 : 2
S. Morning
30 Aug
S. Morning
0 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
22 Aug
Lota Schwager
1 : 1
S. Morning
17 Aug
S. Morning
2 : 1
Atletico Colina
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Atletico Colina

(Away)
04 Oct
General Velasquez
2 : 3
Atletico Colina
27 Sept
Atletico Colina
1 : 0
Real San Joaquin
07 Sept
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 0
Atletico Colina
29 Aug
Atletico Colina
0 : 0
Lota Schwager
17 Aug
S. Morning
2 : 1
Atletico Colina
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