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S. Morning vs Real San Joaquin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal de La Pintana, Santiago de Chile
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

S. Morning host Real San Joaquin in the Segunda Division. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: S. Morning at 0.9 goals for, 1.17 against; Real San Joaquin at 1.21 for, 1.76 against. Past meetings favor Real San Joaquin slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.50, favoring Real San Joaquin. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
S. Morning
35%
Draws
14%
Real San Joaquin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: S. Morning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real San Joaquin have won more games recently than S. Morning.
  • S. Morning are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 16%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Morning Real San Joaquin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs S. Morning
2:2
Jun 15, 2024 Copa Chile
Real San Joaquin vs S. Morning
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Morning 84 / 100
Real San Joaquin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Morning Real San Joaquin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Morning Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real San Joaquin let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: S. Morning stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Real San Joaquin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

S. Morning VS Real San Joaquin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Morning

(Home)
12 Sept
S. Morning
0 : 0
General Velasquez
06 Sept
Deportes Rengo
2 : 2
S. Morning
30 Aug
S. Morning
0 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
22 Aug
Lota Schwager
1 : 1
S. Morning
17 Aug
S. Morning
2 : 1
Atletico Colina
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Real San Joaquin

(Away)
03 Oct
Real San Joaquin
0 : 2
Lota Schwager
27 Sept
Atletico Colina
1 : 0
Real San Joaquin
06 Sept
General Velasquez
1 : 1
Real San Joaquin
31 Aug
Real San Joaquin
2 : 5
Deportes Rengo
22 Aug
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1
Real San Joaquin
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