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S. Wanderers vs Deportes Iquique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Silva J.
46'
Sub
Barrera B. In: Gonzalez C.
Out: Barrera B.
46'
Gonzalez C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between S. Wanderers and Deportes Iquique finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward S. Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
S. Wanderers
15%
Draws
46%
Deportes Iquique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportes Iquique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 19%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Wanderers Deportes Iquique
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Deportes Iquique
1:0
Apr 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs S. Wanderers
2:1
Dec 10, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs S. Wanderers
4:3
Dec 4, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Deportes Iquique
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs S. Wanderers
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Deportes Iquique Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Wanderers 36 / 100
Deportes Iquique 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Wanderers Deportes Iquique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Iquique Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportes Iquique conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: S. Wanderers scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: S. Wanderers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

S. Wanderers VS Deportes Iquique
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1
S. Wanderers
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0
S. Wanderers
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0
Deportes Iquique
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Iquique

(Away)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)