Sport Picks

Stadium Background

S. Wanderers vs Deportes Santa Cruz

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Orellana F.
(Penalty)
14' Event
Navarro L.
(Penalty)
20'
Caceres C.

AI Match Summary

S. Wanderers in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
S. Wanderers
6%
Draws
90%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportes Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • S. Wanderers average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Deportes Santa Cruz's 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Deportes Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 15%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Wanderers Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1
May 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs S. Wanderers
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs S. Wanderers
1:2
Mar 4, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parraguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Wanderers 10 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Wanderers Deportes Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDSC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

S. Wanderers found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Deportes Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: S. Wanderers remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

S. Wanderers VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283