Sport Picks
S. Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso 
Match Events
26'
26'
Flores I.
45'
45'
Cubillos G.
45'
45'
Navarro P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to S. Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than San Marcos de Arica.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on San Marcos de Arica taking it.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 21%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | S. Wanderers | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs S. Wanderers
0:0
Aug 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs S. Wanderers
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
S. Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Camarda M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Top Goalscorer Maidana A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
S. Wanderers 12 / 100
San Marcos de Arica 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
S. Wanderers San Marcos de Arica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: S. Wanderers scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
San Marcos de Arica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
S. Wanderers went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
S. Wanderers VS San Marcos de Arica
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
S. Wanderers
(Home) 10 Oct
S. Wanderers
1 : 2 Curico Unido
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0 S. Wanderers
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
S. Wanderers
1 : 2 Curico Unido
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0 Deportes Iquique
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1 Magallanes
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 3
San Marcos de Arica
(Away) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
16 Aug
U. Espanola
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
